Complete YOSH Stock Valuation Analysis
Comprehensive intrinsic value analysis using 2 different methodologies
YOSH DCF Analysis
YOSH (Yoshiharu Global Co.) discounted cash flow analysis with multiple scenarios, growth assumptions, and terminal value calculations
Financial Projections
| Metrics | 2022 (Historical) | 2023 (Historical) | 2024 (Historical) | 2025 (Projected) | 2026 (Projected) | 2027 (Projected) | 2028 (Projected) | 2029 (Projected) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Revenue | $8.3M | $9.2M | $12.8M | $16.0M | $20.1M | $25.1M | $31.3M | $38.6M |
| Revenue Growth % | - | 11.3% | 39.3% | 25.0% | 25.0% | 25.0% | 25.0% | 23.0% |
| EBIT | $-3.8M | $-3.5M | $-2.6M | $802.4K | $1.0M | $1.3M | $1.6M | $1.9M |
| EBIT Margin % | -45.7% | -38.1% | -19.9% | 5.0% | 5.0% | 5.0% | 5.0% | 5.0% |
| Tax Rate % | 25.0% | 25.0% | 25.0% | 25.0% | 25.0% | 25.0% | 25.0% | 25.0% |
| NOPAT | $-2.8M | $-2.6M | $-1.9M | $601.8K | $752.3K | $940.4K | $1.2M | $1.4M |
| NOPAT Margin % | -34.3% | -28.6% | -14.9% | 3.8% | 3.8% | 3.8% | 3.8% | 3.8% |
| Capex | $1.5M | $1.5M | $761.5K | $2.3M | $2.7M | $3.2M | $3.8M | $4.4M |
| Capex / Revenue % | 17.8% | 16.0% | 5.9% | 14.1% | 13.4% | 12.7% | 12.1% | 11.5% |
| Depreciation | $658.4K | $545.5K | $862.1K | $1.1M | $1.4M | $1.7M | $2.2M | $2.6M |
| D&A / Revenue % | 7.9% | 5.9% | 6.7% | 6.9% | 6.9% | 6.9% | 6.9% | 6.9% |
| Change in NWC | $7.1M | $-6.3M | $-2.8M | $0 | $0 | $0 | $0 | $0 |
| NWC Change / Revenue % | 85.8% | -68.5% | -22.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Unlevered FCF | $-10.8M | $2.8M | $1.0M | $-562.9K | $-562.1K | $-534.4K | $-468.3K | $-342.6K |
| UFCF % Chg. | - | 125.6% | -62.7% | -154.8% | 0.2% | 4.9% | 12.4% | 26.8% |
| FCF / Revenue % | -129.9% | 29.9% | 8.0% | -3.5% | -2.8% | -2.1% | -1.5% | -0.9% |
| Discount Factor | - | - | - | 0.942 | 0.888 | 0.837 | 0.788 | 0.743 |
| Present Value of FCF | - | - | - | $-530.5K | $-499.1K | $-447.1K | $-369.2K | $-254.6K |
| Sum of PV of UFCF | - | - | - | $-530.5K | $-1.0M | $-1.5M | $-1.8M | $-2.1M |
WACC Calculation
Weighted Average Cost of Capital used for discounting cash flows.
| WACC Calculation | Value |
|---|---|
| Cost of Debt | 7.4% |
| Tax Rate | 25.0% |
| After Tax Cost of Debt | 5.6% |
| Risk Free Rate | 4.40% |
| Market Risk Premium | 4.3% |
| Beta | 0.49 |
| Cost of Equity | 6.5% |
| Total Debt | $15.4M |
| Market Cap | $23.2M |
| Total Capital | $38.6M |
| Debt Weighting | 39.9% |
| Equity Weighting | 60.1% |
| WACC | 6.1% |
Terminal Value
Choose between perpetuity growth or exit multiple methods.
| Terminal Value Calculation | Value |
|---|---|
| Terminal Growth Rate | 2.5% |
| Final Year FCF | $-342.6K |
| Terminal Value | $-9.7M |
| PV of Terminal Value | $-7.2M |
| Cumulative PV of UFCF | $-2.1M |
| Net Debt | $14.2M |
| Equity Value | $-23.5M |
| Shares Outstanding | 1.3M |
| Implied Share Price | $-17 |
| Current Share Price | $13 |
| Implied Upside/(Downside) | -232.5% |
Valuation Summary
$-17.43
Implied Price
$13.15
Current Price
-232.5%
Upside/Downside
6.1%
WACC
YOSH Peer Valuation Analysis
Relative valuation based on comparable company trading multiples
Peer Valuation Analysis
Fair Value Range Analysis
Based on median multiples from 8 peer companies in Consumer Cyclical
P/E Ratio
$-33.85
-357.4%
Peer Median: 15.7x
EV/EBITDA
$0.00
-100.0%
Peer Median: 19.5x
P/S Ratio
$4.39
-66.6%
Peer Median: 0.6x
Interpretation: Each multiple provides a different perspective on fair value. Consider which multiple is most relevant for YOSH's business model and current situation.
Multiple Comparison
| Multiple | YOSH Current | Peer Median | Peer Average | Premium/Discount | Assessment |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| P/E Ratio | -6.1x | 15.7x | 15.4x | -138.9% | Undervalued |
| EV/EBITDA | Infinityx | 19.5x | 21.0x | Infinity% | Overvalued |
| P/S Ratio | 1.7x | 0.6x | 1.8x | 199.5% | Overvalued |
Peer Companies
Click any company to view their valuation
| Company | Market Cap | P/E Ratio | EV/EBITDA | P/S Ratio |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| $0.04B | 0.0x | 0.0x | 0.0x | |
| $0.04B | 4.9x | 718.7x | 0.2x | |
| $0.04B | 14.1x | 9.4x | 3.1x | |
| $0.04B | 0.0x | 42.4x | 0.1x | |
| $0.02B | 0.0x | 0.0x | 1.7x | |
| $0.02B | 15.7x | 12.6x | 0.1x | |
| $0.01B | 0.0x | 0.0x | 0.6x | |
| $219.57B | 27.0x | 19.5x | 8.5x |