Complete RR Stock Valuation Analysis
Comprehensive intrinsic value analysis using 2 different methodologies
RR DCF Analysis
RR (Richtech Robotics Inc. Class B Common Stock) discounted cash flow analysis with multiple scenarios, growth assumptions, and terminal value calculations
Financial Projections
| Metrics | 2022 (Historical) | 2023 (Historical) | 2024 (Historical) | 2025 (Projected) | 2026 (Projected) | 2027 (Projected) | 2028 (Projected) | 2029 (Projected) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Revenue | $6.0M | $8.8M | $4.2M | $3.8M | $3.4M | $3.1M | $2.9M | $2.7M |
| Revenue Growth % | - | 44.8% | -51.6% | -10.0% | -9.7% | -8.8% | -7.9% | -7.1% |
| EBIT | $-376.0K | $289.0K | $-7.1M | $190.8K | $172.2K | $157.1K | $144.8K | $134.5K |
| EBIT Margin % | -6.2% | 3.3% | -166.8% | 5.0% | 5.0% | 5.0% | 5.0% | 5.0% |
| Tax Rate % | 25.0% | 25.0% | 25.0% | 25.0% | 25.0% | 25.0% | 25.0% | 25.0% |
| NOPAT | $-282.0K | $216.8K | $-5.3M | $143.1K | $129.2K | $117.9K | $108.6K | $100.9K |
| NOPAT Margin % | -4.7% | 2.5% | -125.1% | 3.8% | 3.8% | 3.8% | 3.8% | 3.8% |
| Capex | $0 | $0 | $6.2M | $38.2K | $34.4K | $31.4K | $29.0K | $26.9K |
| Capex / Revenue % | 0.0% | 0.0% | 146.1% | 1.0% | 1.0% | 1.0% | 1.0% | 1.0% |
| Depreciation | $7.0K | $0 | $82.0K | $26.1K | $23.5K | $21.5K | $19.8K | $18.4K |
| D&A / Revenue % | 0.1% | 0.0% | 1.9% | 0.7% | 0.7% | 0.7% | 0.7% | 0.7% |
| Change in NWC | $985.0K | $1.3M | $28.5M | $0 | $0 | $0 | $0 | $0 |
| NWC Change / Revenue % | 16.3% | 15.2% | 672.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Unlevered FCF | $-1.3M | $-1.1M | $-39.9M | $131.0K | $118.3K | $107.9K | $99.4K | $92.3K |
| UFCF % Chg. | - | 11.8% | -3492.1% | 100.3% | -9.7% | -8.8% | -7.9% | -7.1% |
| FCF / Revenue % | -20.8% | -12.7% | -941.4% | 3.4% | 3.4% | 3.4% | 3.4% | 3.4% |
| Discount Factor | - | - | - | 1.173 | 1.377 | 1.616 | 1.896 | 2.225 |
| Present Value of FCF | - | - | - | $153.7K | $162.8K | $174.4K | $188.5K | $205.5K |
| Sum of PV of UFCF | - | - | - | $153.7K | $316.6K | $490.9K | $679.4K | $884.9K |
WACC Calculation
Weighted Average Cost of Capital used for discounting cash flows.
| WACC Calculation | Value |
|---|---|
| Cost of Debt | 7.3% |
| Tax Rate | 25.0% |
| After Tax Cost of Debt | 5.5% |
| Risk Free Rate | 4.29% |
| Market Risk Premium | 4.3% |
| Beta | -4.42 |
| Cost of Equity | -14.8% |
| Total Debt | $559.0K |
| Market Cap | $227.9M |
| Total Capital | $228.5M |
| Debt Weighting | 0.2% |
| Equity Weighting | 99.8% |
| WACC | -14.8% |
Terminal Value
Choose between perpetuity growth or exit multiple methods.
| Terminal Value Calculation | Value |
|---|---|
| Terminal Growth Rate | 2.5% |
| Final Year FCF | $92.3K |
| Terminal Value | $-547.8K |
| PV of Terminal Value | $-1.2M |
| Cumulative PV of UFCF | $884.9K |
| Net Debt | $-14.0M |
| Equity Value | $13.7M |
| Shares Outstanding | 69.7M |
| Implied Share Price | $0 |
| Current Share Price | $2 |
| Implied Upside/(Downside) | -90.1% |
Valuation Summary
$0.20
Implied Price
$1.99
Current Price
-90.1%
Upside/Downside
-14.8%
WACC
RR Peer Valuation Analysis
Relative valuation based on comparable company trading multiples
Peer Valuation Analysis
Fair Value Range Analysis
Based on median multiples from 10 peer companies in Industrials
P/E Ratio
$-3.48
-275.1%
Peer Median: 26.9x
EV/EBITDA
$0.00
-100.0%
Peer Median: 13.5x
P/S Ratio
$0.10
-94.8%
Peer Median: 2.7x
Interpretation: Each multiple provides a different perspective on fair value. Consider which multiple is most relevant for RR's business model and current situation.
Multiple Comparison
| Multiple | RR Current | Peer Median | Peer Average | Premium/Discount | Assessment |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| P/E Ratio | -15.4x | 26.9x | 28.0x | -157.1% | Undervalued |
| EV/EBITDA | Infinityx | 13.5x | 14.9x | Infinity% | Overvalued |
| P/S Ratio | 51.9x | 2.7x | 2.2x | 1808.7% | Overvalued |
Peer Companies
Click any company to view their valuation
| Company | Market Cap | P/E Ratio | EV/EBITDA | P/S Ratio |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| $0.69B | 32.4x | 24.6x | 4.9x | |
| $0.43B | 46.6x | 8.9x | 0.4x | |
| $0.54B | 59.7x | 31.4x | 2.7x | |
| $0.34B | 19.4x | 13.5x | 3.4x | |
| $0.23B | 0.0x | 0.0x | 51.9x | |
| $0.33B | 14.8x | 7.7x | 0.6x | |
| $0.33B | 15.6x | 6.6x | 0.8x | |
| $0.32B | 0.0x | 0.0x | 53.1x | |
| $0.25B | 8.1x | 7.9x | 0.2x | |
| $89.33B | 26.9x | 18.6x | 4.5x |