Complete DVLT Stock Valuation Analysis
Comprehensive intrinsic value analysis using 2 different methodologies
DVLT DCF Analysis
DVLT (Datavault AI Inc.) discounted cash flow analysis with multiple scenarios, growth assumptions, and terminal value calculations
Financial Projections
| Metrics | 2022 (Historical) | 2023 (Historical) | 2024 (Historical) | 2025 (Projected) | 2026 (Projected) | 2027 (Projected) | 2028 (Projected) | 2029 (Projected) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Revenue | $3.4M | $2.1M | $2.7M | $2.9M | $3.1M | $3.2M | $3.4M | $3.6M |
| Revenue Growth % | - | -38.1% | 28.4% | 7.4% | 6.7% | 6.0% | 5.4% | 4.9% |
| EBIT | $-18.0M | $-21.5M | $-21.1M | $143.6K | $153.2K | $162.4K | $171.2K | $179.5K |
| EBIT Margin % | -536.2% | -1030.1% | -790.5% | 5.0% | 5.0% | 5.0% | 5.0% | 5.0% |
| Tax Rate % | 25.0% | 25.0% | 25.0% | 25.0% | 25.0% | 25.0% | 25.0% | 25.0% |
| NOPAT | $-13.5M | $-16.1M | $-15.9M | $107.7K | $114.9K | $121.8K | $128.4K | $134.6K |
| NOPAT Margin % | -402.2% | -772.6% | -592.9% | 3.8% | 3.8% | 3.8% | 3.8% | 3.8% |
| Capex | $43.0K | $50.0K | $134.0K | $71.0K | $72.0K | $72.5K | $72.6K | $72.3K |
| Capex / Revenue % | 1.3% | 2.4% | 5.0% | 2.5% | 2.3% | 2.2% | 2.1% | 2.0% |
| Depreciation | $122.0K | $98.0K | $70.0K | $104.8K | $111.8K | $118.5K | $124.9K | $131.0K |
| D&A / Revenue % | 3.6% | 4.7% | 2.6% | 3.6% | 3.6% | 3.6% | 3.6% | 3.6% |
| Change in NWC | $-8.8M | $-7.0M | $1.9M | $0 | $0 | $0 | $0 | $0 |
| NWC Change / Revenue % | -260.5% | -336.5% | 70.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Unlevered FCF | $-4.7M | $-9.0M | $-17.8M | $141.5K | $154.7K | $167.8K | $180.7K | $193.3K |
| UFCF % Chg. | - | -92.8% | -97.0% | 100.8% | 9.4% | 8.5% | 7.7% | 7.0% |
| FCF / Revenue % | -139.3% | -433.7% | -665.6% | 4.9% | 5.0% | 5.2% | 5.3% | 5.4% |
| Discount Factor | - | - | - | 0.955 | 0.911 | 0.870 | 0.831 | 0.793 |
| Present Value of FCF | - | - | - | $135.1K | $141.0K | $146.0K | $150.1K | $153.3K |
| Sum of PV of UFCF | - | - | - | $135.1K | $276.1K | $422.1K | $572.2K | $725.5K |
WACC Calculation
Weighted Average Cost of Capital used for discounting cash flows.
| WACC Calculation | Value |
|---|---|
| Cost of Debt | 6.9% |
| Tax Rate | 25.0% |
| After Tax Cost of Debt | 5.2% |
| Risk Free Rate | 4.37% |
| Market Risk Premium | 4.3% |
| Beta | 0.07 |
| Cost of Equity | 4.7% |
| Total Debt | $9.7M |
| Market Cap | $55.1M |
| Total Capital | $64.8M |
| Debt Weighting | 14.9% |
| Equity Weighting | 85.1% |
| WACC | 4.8% |
Terminal Value
Choose between perpetuity growth or exit multiple methods.
| Terminal Value Calculation | Value |
|---|---|
| Terminal Growth Rate | 2.5% |
| Final Year FCF | $193.3K |
| Terminal Value | $8.8M |
| PV of Terminal Value | $7.0M |
| Cumulative PV of UFCF | $725.5K |
| Net Debt | $6.3M |
| Equity Value | $1.4M |
| Shares Outstanding | 4.2M |
| Implied Share Price | $0 |
| Current Share Price | $1 |
| Implied Upside/(Downside) | -60.5% |
Valuation Summary
$0.32
Implied Price
$0.82
Current Price
-60.5%
Upside/Downside
4.8%
WACC
DVLT Peer Valuation Analysis
Relative valuation based on comparable company trading multiples
Peer Valuation Analysis
Fair Value Range Analysis
Based on median multiples from 10 peer companies in Technology
P/E Ratio
$-467.52
-57093.7%
Peer Median: 47.3x
EV/EBITDA
$0.00
-100.0%
Peer Median: 39.6x
P/S Ratio
$0.15
-81.3%
Peer Median: 3.9x
Interpretation: Each multiple provides a different perspective on fair value. Consider which multiple is most relevant for DVLT's business model and current situation.
Multiple Comparison
| Multiple | DVLT Current | Peer Median | Peer Average | Premium/Discount | Assessment |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| P/E Ratio | -0.1x | 47.3x | 46.9x | -100.2% | Undervalued |
| EV/EBITDA | Infinityx | 39.6x | 37.6x | Infinity% | Overvalued |
| P/S Ratio | 20.6x | 3.9x | 3.1x | 433.9% | Overvalued |
Peer Companies
Click any company to view their valuation
| Company | Market Cap | P/E Ratio | EV/EBITDA | P/S Ratio |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| $0.24B | 0.0x | 0.0x | 0.0x | |
| $0.27B | 0.0x | 0.0x | 172.4x | |
| $0.13B | 88.7x | 267.3x | 2.6x | |
| $0.09B | 0.0x | 0.0x | 4.2x | |
| $0.09B | 0.0x | 0.0x | 4.7x | |
| $0.06B | 0.0x | 0.0x | 20.6x | |
| $0.05B | 4.8x | 35.6x | 5.7x | |
| $0.04B | 0.0x | 0.0x | 3.9x | |
| $0.03B | 0.0x | 0.0x | 0.9x | |
| $3406.00B | 47.3x | 39.6x | 26.1x |