Complete PBH Stock Valuation Analysis
Comprehensive intrinsic value analysis using 6 different methodologies
PBH DCF Analysis
PBH (Prestige Consumer Healthcare Inc.) discounted cash flow analysis with multiple scenarios, growth assumptions, and terminal value calculations
Financial Projections
Metrics | 2023 (Historical) | 2024 (Historical) | 2025 (Historical) | 2026 (Projected) | 2027 (Projected) | 2028 (Projected) | 2029 (Projected) | 2030 (Projected) |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Revenue | $1.1B | $1.1B | $1.1B | $1.2B | $1.2B | $1.2B | $1.2B | $1.3B |
Revenue Growth % | - | -0.2% | 1.1% | 2.7% | 2.4% | 2.1% | 1.9% | 1.7% |
EBIT | $345.5M | $342.4M | $336.8M | $353.0M | $362.6M | $371.6M | $380.0M | $387.9M |
EBIT Margin % | 30.6% | 30.4% | 29.6% | 30.2% | 30.3% | 30.4% | 30.5% | 30.6% |
Tax Rate % | 25.0% | 24.2% | 24.5% | 22.9% | 23.1% | 23.4% | 23.6% | 23.8% |
NOPAT | $259.1M | $259.7M | $254.3M | $272.0M | $278.6M | $284.8M | $290.5M | $295.7M |
NOPAT Margin % | 23.0% | 23.1% | 22.4% | 23.3% | 23.3% | 23.3% | 23.3% | 23.3% |
Capex | $7.8M | $9.6M | $8.2M | $12.9M | $12.5M | $12.2M | $12.5M | $12.7M |
Capex / Revenue % | 0.7% | 0.8% | 0.7% | 1.1% | 1.0% | 1.0% | 1.0% | 1.0% |
Depreciation | $32.6M | $30.7M | $30.2M | $32.2M | $33.0M | $33.7M | $34.3M | $34.9M |
D&A / Revenue % | 2.9% | 2.7% | 2.7% | 2.8% | 2.8% | 2.8% | 2.8% | 2.8% |
Change in NWC | $81.2M | $27.0M | $83.7M | $40.1M | $32.8M | $26.8M | $21.9M | $17.8M |
NWC Change / Revenue % | 7.2% | 2.4% | 7.4% | 3.4% | 2.7% | 2.2% | 1.8% | 1.4% |
Unlevered FCF | $202.8M | $253.9M | $192.6M | $251.3M | $266.3M | $279.5M | $290.5M | $300.2M |
UFCF % Chg. | - | 25.2% | -24.1% | 30.5% | 6.0% | 4.9% | 4.0% | 3.3% |
FCF / Revenue % | 18.0% | 22.6% | 16.9% | 21.5% | 22.3% | 22.9% | 23.3% | 23.7% |
Discount Factor | - | - | - | 0.940 | 0.884 | 0.831 | 0.782 | 0.735 |
Present Value of FCF | - | - | - | $236.2M | $235.4M | $232.3M | $227.0M | $220.6M |
Sum of PV of UFCF | - | - | - | $236.2M | $471.7M | $703.9M | $931.0M | $1.2B |
Weighted Average Cost of Capital used for discounting cash flows.
WACC Calculation | Value |
---|---|
Cost of Debt | 5.9% |
Tax Rate | 22.9% |
After Tax Cost of Debt | 4.5% |
Risk Free Rate | 4.40% |
Market Risk Premium | 4.3% |
Beta | 0.46 |
Cost of Equity | 6.4% |
Total Debt | $51.9M |
Market Cap | $4.2B |
Total Capital | $4.2B |
Debt Weighting | 1.2% |
Equity Weighting | 98.8% |
WACC | 6.4% |
Choose between perpetuity growth or exit multiple methods.
Terminal Value Calculation | Value |
---|---|
Terminal Growth Rate | 2.5% |
Final Year FCF | $300.2M |
Terminal Value | $8.0B |
PV of Terminal Value | $5.9B |
Cumulative PV of UFCF | $1.2B |
Net Debt | $-46.0M |
Equity Value | $7.1B |
Shares Outstanding | 50.1M |
Implied Share Price | $141 |
Current Share Price | $85 |
Implied Upside/(Downside) | +66.1% |
PBH Peer Valuation Analysis
Relative valuation based on comparable company trading multiples
Fair Value Range Analysis
Based on median multiples from 9 peer companies in Healthcare
Multiple | PBH Current | Peer Median | Peer Average | Premium/Discount | Assessment |
---|---|---|---|---|---|
P/E Ratio | 19.8x | 19.8x | 33.2x | 0.0% | Fair Value |
EV/EBITDA | 11.7x | 11.7x | 16.6x | 0.0% | Fair Value |
P/S Ratio | 3.7x | 1.5x | 5.2x | 139.0% | Overvalued |
Company | Market Cap | P/E Ratio | EV/EBITDA | P/S Ratio |
---|---|---|---|---|
$10.15B | 0.0x | 14.2x | 0.7x | |
$7.33B | 62.4x | 64.8x | 10.7x | |
$6.83B | 18.4x | 17.1x | 1.5x | |
$5.46B | 0.0x | 0.0x | 12.6x | |
$4.19B | 19.8x | 11.7x | 3.7x | |
$3.43B | 0.0x | 10.4x | 1.2x | |
$2.49B | 3.3x | 7.1x | 0.4x | |
$3.43B | 0.0x | 10.4x | 1.2x | |
$728.45B | 62.3x | 45.5x | 14.9x |
PBH Graham Number
Benjamin Graham's conservative valuation formula for defensive investors
EPS (TTM) | $4.29 | Latest 10-K |
Book Value per Share | $36.64 | Latest 10-K Balance Sheet |
Graham Constant | 22.5 | Benjamin Graham's formula |
PBH Graham Intrinsic Value
Growth-adjusted intrinsic value with two formula variants
PBH Peter Lynch Fair Value
Growth-based valuation using PEG ratio analysis for growth stocks
PBH Earnings Power Value (EPV)
Normalized earnings-based valuation for sustainable earning power assessment
Earnings Component | Amount ($B) | Description |
---|---|---|
Reported Earnings | 0.2 | Base earnings from financial statements |
Normalized Earnings | 0.2 | Final normalized earning power |
One-time Items: Remove non-recurring gains/losses
Cyclical Adjustment: Normalize for economic cycle position
Enterprise Value Calculation
Normalized Earnings | $0.2B |
Cost of Capital | 9.1% |
Enterprise Value | $2.4B |
Per Share Value
Enterprise Value | $2.4B |
Shares Outstanding | 0.1B |
EPV per Share | $47.12 |
WACC Components
Cost of Equity | 9.2% |
After-Tax Cost of Debt | 3.5% |
Equity Weight | 98.8% |
Debt Weight | 1.2% |
WACC | 9.1% |