Complete OMCC Stock Valuation Analysis
Comprehensive intrinsic value analysis using 2 different methodologies
OMCC DCF Analysis
OMCC (Old Market Capital Corporation) discounted cash flow analysis with multiple scenarios, growth assumptions, and terminal value calculations
Financial Projections
| Metrics | 2021 (Historical) | 2022 (Historical) | 2023 (Historical) | 2024 (Projected) | 2025 (Projected) | 2026 (Projected) | 2027 (Projected) | 2028 (Projected) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Revenue | $44.4M | $40.4M | $-2.9M | $-2.6M | $-2.3M | $-2.1M | $-1.9M | $-1.7M |
| Revenue Growth % | - | -9.0% | -107.1% | -10.0% | -10.0% | -10.0% | -10.0% | -10.0% |
| EBIT | $0 | $0 | $-20.0M | $-1.0M | $-925.3K | $-832.8K | $-749.5K | $-674.6K |
| EBIT Margin % | 0.0% | 0.0% | 700.9% | 40.0% | 40.0% | 40.0% | 40.0% | 40.0% |
| Tax Rate % | 25.9% | 25.0% | 25.0% | 19.9% | 20.4% | 20.9% | 21.4% | 22.0% |
| NOPAT | $0 | $0 | $-15.0M | $-823.3K | $-736.3K | $-658.4K | $-588.8K | $-526.5K |
| NOPAT Margin % | 0.0% | 0.0% | 525.7% | 32.0% | 31.8% | 31.6% | 31.4% | 31.2% |
| Capex | $1.3M | $59.0K | $13.0K | $-29.4K | $-25.1K | $-21.5K | $-18.7K | $-16.9K |
| Capex / Revenue % | 3.0% | 0.1% | -0.5% | 1.1% | 1.1% | 1.0% | 1.0% | 1.0% |
| Depreciation | $1.8M | $390.0K | $84.0K | $-17.6K | $-15.8K | $-14.2K | $-12.8K | $-11.5K |
| D&A / Revenue % | 4.0% | 1.0% | -2.9% | 0.7% | 0.7% | 0.7% | 0.7% | 0.7% |
| Change in NWC | $-17.2M | $-4.3M | $18.5M | $0 | $0 | $0 | $0 | $0 |
| NWC Change / Revenue % | -38.8% | -10.7% | -648.7% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Unlevered FCF | $17.7M | $4.7M | $-33.5M | $-811.5K | $-727.0K | $-651.2K | $-582.9K | $-521.2K |
| UFCF % Chg. | - | -73.8% | -819.5% | 97.6% | 10.4% | 10.4% | 10.5% | 10.6% |
| FCF / Revenue % | 39.9% | 11.5% | 1171.9% | 31.6% | 31.4% | 31.3% | 31.1% | 30.9% |
| Discount Factor | - | - | - | 0.925 | 0.855 | 0.790 | 0.731 | 0.675 |
| Present Value of FCF | - | - | - | $-750.3K | $-621.4K | $-514.6K | $-425.8K | $-352.0K |
| Sum of PV of UFCF | - | - | - | $-750.3K | $-1.4M | $-1.9M | $-2.3M | $-2.7M |
WACC Calculation
Weighted Average Cost of Capital used for discounting cash flows.
| WACC Calculation | Value |
|---|---|
| Cost of Debt | 7.4% |
| Tax Rate | 19.9% |
| After Tax Cost of Debt | 5.9% |
| Risk Free Rate | 4.37% |
| Market Risk Premium | 4.3% |
| Beta | 0.88 |
| Cost of Equity | 8.2% |
| Total Debt | $0 |
| Market Cap | $35.4M |
| Total Capital | $35.4M |
| Debt Weighting | 0.0% |
| Equity Weighting | 100.0% |
| WACC | 8.2% |
Terminal Value
Choose between perpetuity growth or exit multiple methods.
| Terminal Value Calculation | Value |
|---|---|
| Terminal Growth Rate | 2.5% |
| Final Year FCF | $-521.2K |
| Terminal Value | $-9.4M |
| PV of Terminal Value | $-6.4M |
| Cumulative PV of UFCF | $-2.7M |
| Net Debt | $-19.0M |
| Equity Value | $9.9M |
| Shares Outstanding | 7.3M |
| Implied Share Price | $1 |
| Current Share Price | $5 |
| Implied Upside/(Downside) | -74.1% |
Valuation Summary
$1.37
Implied Price
$5.28
Current Price
-74.1%
Upside/Downside
8.2%
WACC
OMCC Peer Valuation Analysis
Relative valuation based on comparable company trading multiples
Peer Valuation Analysis
Fair Value Range Analysis
Based on median multiples from 4 peer companies in Financial Services
P/E Ratio
$-12.27
-332.4%
Peer Median: 20.2x
EV/EBITDA
$0.00
-100.0%
Peer Median: 14.7x
P/S Ratio
$3.90
-26.1%
Peer Median: 2.7x
Interpretation: Each multiple provides a different perspective on fair value. Consider which multiple is most relevant for OMCC's business model and current situation.
Multiple Comparison
| Multiple | OMCC Current | Peer Median | Peer Average | Premium/Discount | Assessment |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| P/E Ratio | -8.7x | 20.2x | 16.1x | -143.0% | Undervalued |
| EV/EBITDA | Infinityx | 14.7x | 11.6x | Infinity% | Overvalued |
| P/S Ratio | 3.7x | 2.7x | 1.8x | 35.3% | Overvalued |
Peer Companies
Click any company to view their valuation
| Company | Market Cap | P/E Ratio | EV/EBITDA | P/S Ratio |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| $0.21B | 12.0x | 18.7x | 0.5x | |
| $0.04B | 0.0x | 1.6x | 0.2x | |
| $0.04B | 0.0x | 0.0x | 3.7x | |
| $206.99B | 20.2x | 14.7x | 2.7x |