Complete CHSN Stock Valuation Analysis
Comprehensive intrinsic value analysis using 3 different methodologies
CHSN DCF Analysis
CHSN (Chanson International Holding) discounted cash flow analysis with multiple scenarios, growth assumptions, and terminal value calculations
Financial Projections
| Metrics | 2022 (Historical) | 2023 (Historical) | 2024 (Historical) | 2025 (Projected) | 2026 (Projected) | 2027 (Projected) | 2028 (Projected) | 2029 (Projected) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Revenue | $13.3M | $17.3M | $18.2M | $20.7M | $23.2M | $25.8M | $28.3M | $30.9M |
| Revenue Growth % | - | 30.0% | 5.7% | 13.6% | 12.2% | 11.0% | 9.9% | 8.9% |
| EBIT | $-1.4M | $-610.5K | $-529.6K | $1.0M | $1.2M | $1.3M | $1.4M | $1.5M |
| EBIT Margin % | -10.8% | -3.5% | -2.9% | 5.0% | 5.0% | 5.0% | 5.0% | 5.0% |
| Tax Rate % | 25.0% | 50.0% | 9.0% | 22.4% | 22.7% | 22.9% | 23.2% | 23.5% |
| NOPAT | $-1.1M | $-305.3K | $-482.1K | $803.0K | $898.1K | $993.5K | $1.1M | $1.2M |
| NOPAT Margin % | -8.1% | -1.8% | -2.6% | 3.9% | 3.9% | 3.9% | 3.8% | 3.8% |
| Capex | $860.0K | $2.1M | $583.3K | $1.7M | $1.8M | $1.9M | $2.0M | $2.1M |
| Capex / Revenue % | 6.5% | 12.3% | 3.2% | 8.3% | 7.9% | 7.5% | 7.1% | 6.7% |
| Depreciation | $3.2M | $488.5K | $3.5M | $3.2M | $3.6M | $4.0M | $4.4M | $4.8M |
| D&A / Revenue % | 24.4% | 2.8% | 19.0% | 15.4% | 15.4% | 15.4% | 15.4% | 15.4% |
| Change in NWC | $-1.5M | $1.7M | $9.7M | $1.0M | $900.2K | $799.4K | $702.8K | $612.3K |
| NWC Change / Revenue % | -11.3% | 9.7% | 53.1% | 4.8% | 3.9% | 3.1% | 2.5% | 2.0% |
| Unlevered FCF | $2.8M | $-3.6M | $-7.3M | $1.3M | $1.7M | $2.2M | $2.7M | $3.2M |
| UFCF % Chg. | - | -229.0% | -102.2% | 117.5% | 37.2% | 28.0% | 22.3% | 18.3% |
| FCF / Revenue % | 21.0% | -20.9% | -40.0% | 6.2% | 7.5% | 8.7% | 9.7% | 10.5% |
| Discount Factor | - | - | - | 1.013 | 1.026 | 1.039 | 1.052 | 1.065 |
| Present Value of FCF | - | - | - | $1.3M | $1.8M | $2.3M | $2.9M | $3.5M |
| Sum of PV of UFCF | - | - | - | $1.3M | $3.1M | $5.4M | $8.3M | $11.7M |
WACC Calculation
Weighted Average Cost of Capital used for discounting cash flows.
| WACC Calculation | Value |
|---|---|
| Cost of Debt | 7.5% |
| Tax Rate | 22.4% |
| After Tax Cost of Debt | 5.8% |
| Risk Free Rate | 4.46% |
| Market Risk Premium | 4.3% |
| Beta | -2.93 |
| Cost of Equity | -8.2% |
| Total Debt | $13.0M |
| Market Cap | $13.1M |
| Total Capital | $26.2M |
| Debt Weighting | 49.8% |
| Equity Weighting | 50.2% |
| WACC | -1.3% |
Terminal Value
Choose between perpetuity growth or exit multiple methods.
| Terminal Value Calculation | Value |
|---|---|
| Terminal Growth Rate | 2.5% |
| Final Year FCF | $3.2M |
| Terminal Value | $-88.5M |
| PV of Terminal Value | $-94.2M |
| Cumulative PV of UFCF | $11.7M |
| Net Debt | $937.8K |
| Equity Value | $-83.4M |
| Shares Outstanding | 16.4M |
| Implied Share Price | $-5 |
| Current Share Price | $0 |
| Implied Upside/(Downside) | -1154.8% |
Valuation Summary
$-5.08
Implied Price
$0.48
Current Price
-1154.8%
Upside/Downside
-1.3%
WACC
CHSN Peer Valuation Analysis
Relative valuation based on comparable company trading multiples
Peer Valuation Analysis
Fair Value Range Analysis
Based on median multiples from 2 peer companies in Consumer Cyclical
P/E Ratio
$-0.00
-100.0%
Peer Median: 11.6x
EV/EBITDA
$0.55
+14.5%
Peer Median: 42.2x
P/S Ratio
$0.48
+0.0%
Peer Median: 1.0x
Interpretation: Each multiple provides a different perspective on fair value. Consider which multiple is most relevant for CHSN's business model and current situation.
Multiple Comparison
| Multiple | CHSN Current | Peer Median | Peer Average | Premium/Discount | Assessment |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| P/E Ratio | -95809.8x | 11.6x | 11.6x | -826764.1% | Undervalued |
| EV/EBITDA | 39.5x | 42.2x | 42.2x | -6.4% | Fair Value |
| P/S Ratio | 1.0x | 1.0x | 0.6x | 0.0% | Fair Value |
Peer Companies
Click any company to view their valuation
| Company | Market Cap | P/E Ratio | EV/EBITDA | P/S Ratio |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| $0.01B | 11.6x | 42.2x | 1.0x | |
| $0.01B | 0.0x | 0.0x | 0.3x |
CHSN Earnings Power Value (EPV)
Normalized earnings-based valuation for sustainable earning power assessment
Earnings Normalization
| Earnings Component | Amount ($B) | Description |
|---|---|---|
| Reported Earnings | 0.0 | Base earnings from financial statements |
| Normalized Earnings | 0.0 | Final normalized earning power |
One-time Items: Remove non-recurring gains/losses
Cyclical Adjustment: Normalize for economic cycle position
EPV Result
$0.81
EPV per Share
$0.48
Current Price
+69.1%
Upside/Downside
5.7%
WACC: 5.7% (calculated from market data)
Confidence: High
Normalized earnings approach
EPV Calculation Breakdown
Enterprise Value Calculation
| Normalized Earnings | $0.0B |
| Cost of Capital | 5.7% |
| Enterprise Value | $0.0B |
Per Share Value
| Enterprise Value | $0.0B |
| Shares Outstanding | 0.0B |
| EPV per Share | $0.81 |
WACC Components
| Cost of Equity | 9.2% |
| After-Tax Cost of Debt | 3.5% |
| Equity Weight | 37.8% |
| Debt Weight | 62.2% |
| WACC | 5.7% |