Complete AQB Stock Valuation Analysis
Comprehensive intrinsic value analysis using 5 different methodologies
AQB DCF Analysis
AQB (AquaBounty Technologies, Inc.) discounted cash flow analysis with multiple scenarios, growth assumptions, and terminal value calculations
Financial Projections
| Metrics | 2022 (Historical) | 2023 (Historical) | 2024 (Historical) | 2025 (Projected) | 2026 (Projected) | 2027 (Projected) | 2028 (Projected) | 2029 (Projected) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Revenue | $3.1M | $2.5M | $0 | $0 | $0 | $0 | $0 | $0 |
| Revenue Growth % | - | -21.2% | -100.0% | 25.0% | 25.0% | 25.0% | 25.0% | 25.0% |
| EBIT | $-22.3M | $-27.3M | $113.8M | $0 | $0 | $0 | $0 | $0 |
| EBIT Margin % | -711.6% | -1104.7% | 0.0% | 5.0% | 5.0% | 5.0% | 5.0% | 5.0% |
| Tax Rate % | 25.0% | 25.0% | 0.0% | 20.0% | 20.5% | 21.0% | 21.5% | 22.0% |
| NOPAT | $-16.7M | $-20.5M | $113.8M | $0 | $0 | $0 | $0 | $0 |
| NOPAT Margin % | -533.7% | -828.6% | Infinity% | NaN% | NaN% | NaN% | NaN% | NaN% |
| Capex | $67.5M | $68.9M | $2.9M | $0 | $0 | $0 | $0 | $0 |
| Capex / Revenue % | 2151.0% | 2786.1% | Infinity% | 3.0% | 3.0% | 3.0% | 3.0% | 3.0% |
| Depreciation | $2.0M | $2.2M | $904.1M | $NaN | $NaN | $NaN | $NaN | $NaN |
| D&A / Revenue % | 64.5% | 87.3% | Infinity% | NaN% | NaN% | NaN% | NaN% | NaN% |
| Change in NWC | $-96.5M | $-93.6M | $11.3B | $0 | $0 | $0 | $0 | $0 |
| NWC Change / Revenue % | -3076.9% | -3783.5% | Infinity% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Unlevered FCF | $14.3M | $6.3M | $-10.3B | $NaN | $NaN | $NaN | $NaN | $NaN |
| UFCF % Chg. | - | -55.8% | -162925.2% | NaN% | NaN% | NaN% | NaN% | NaN% |
| FCF / Revenue % | 456.7% | 256.2% | -Infinity% | NaN% | NaN% | NaN% | NaN% | NaN% |
| Discount Factor | - | - | - | 0.930 | 0.865 | 0.805 | 0.748 | 0.696 |
| Present Value of FCF | - | - | - | $NaN | $NaN | $NaN | $NaN | $NaN |
| Sum of PV of UFCF | - | - | - | $NaN | $NaN | $NaN | $NaN | $NaN |
WACC Calculation
Weighted Average Cost of Capital used for discounting cash flows.
| WACC Calculation | Value |
|---|---|
| Cost of Debt | 7.2% |
| Tax Rate | 20.0% |
| After Tax Cost of Debt | 5.8% |
| Risk Free Rate | 4.24% |
| Market Risk Premium | 4.3% |
| Beta | 1.21 |
| Cost of Equity | 9.5% |
| Total Debt | $3.3M |
| Market Cap | $2.9M |
| Total Capital | $6.1M |
| Debt Weighting | 53.4% |
| Equity Weighting | 46.6% |
| WACC | 7.5% |
Terminal Value
Choose between perpetuity growth or exit multiple methods.
| Terminal Value Calculation | Value |
|---|---|
| Terminal Growth Rate | 2.5% |
| Final Year FCF | $NaN |
| Terminal Value | $NaN |
| PV of Terminal Value | $NaN |
| Cumulative PV of UFCF | $NaN |
| Net Debt | $3.1M |
| Equity Value | $NaN |
| Shares Outstanding | 3.9M |
| Implied Share Price | $NaN |
| Current Share Price | $1 |
| Implied Upside/(Downside) | NaN% |
Valuation Summary
$NaN
Implied Price
$0.74
Current Price
NaN%
Upside/Downside
7.5%
WACC
AQB Peer Valuation Analysis
Relative valuation based on comparable company trading multiples
Peer Valuation Analysis
Fair Value Range Analysis
Based on median multiples from 8 peer companies in Consumer Defensive
P/E Ratio
$0.75
+0.0%
Peer Median: 0.0x
EV/EBITDA
$1.54
+104.7%
Peer Median: 0.0x
P/S Ratio
$0.87
+15.6%
Peer Median: 1.8x
Interpretation: Each multiple provides a different perspective on fair value. Consider which multiple is most relevant for AQB's business model and current situation.
Multiple Comparison
| Multiple | AQB Current | Peer Median | Peer Average | Premium/Discount | Assessment |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| P/E Ratio | 0.0x | 0.0x | 0.0x | 0.0% | Fair Value |
| EV/EBITDA | 0.0x | 0.0x | 0.0x | 0.0% | Fair Value |
| P/S Ratio | 1.6x | 1.8x | 2.2x | -13.5% | Fair Value |
Peer Companies
Click any company to view their valuation
| Company | Market Cap | P/E Ratio | EV/EBITDA | P/S Ratio |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| $0.00B | 0.0x | 0.0x | 3.6x | |
| $0.00B | 0.0x | 0.0x | 45.6x | |
| $0.00B | 0.0x | 0.0x | 0.0x | |
| $0.00B | 0.0x | 0.0x | 1.8x | |
| $0.01B | 0.0x | 0.0x | 0.0x | |
| $0.00B | 0.0x | 0.0x | 30.9x | |
| $0.00B | 0.0x | 0.0x | 1.3x | |
| $0.00B | 0.0x | 0.0x | 61.3x |
AQB Graham Number
Benjamin Graham's conservative valuation formula for defensive investors
Input Data
| EPS (TTM) | $68.04 | Latest 10-K |
| Book Value per Share | $4.10 | Latest 10-K Balance Sheet |
| Graham Constant | 22.5 | Benjamin Graham's formula |
Graham Number Result
$79.26
Intrinsic Value
$0.74
Current Price
+10610.7%
Upside/Downside
Confidence: High
Conservative value investing approach
Calculation Breakdown
Formula:
√(22.5 × EPS × BVPS)
Step 1: Multiply constant by EPS
22.5 × 68.04 = 1530.95
Step 2: Multiply by Book Value per Share
1530.95 × 4.10 = 6281.98
Step 3: Take square root
√6281.98 = 79.26
Graham Number Result:
$79.26
AQB Graham Intrinsic Value
Growth-adjusted intrinsic value with two formula variants
Formula Selection
V = EPS × (8.5 + 2g)
Graham's original P/E shortcut for growth, no interest-rate adjustment
V = [EPS × (8.5 + 2g) × 4.4] / Y
Graham's 1974 refinement: adds rate-environment sensitivity
Active Formula: Base-Growth
68.04 × (8.5 + 2 × 8.0%)
Input Data & Growth Assumptions
Current EPS (TTM)$68.04
Latest 10-K • 2024-12-31T00:00:00
No positive historical growth rates available.
Graham's formula is designed for growing companies. Use the custom input below with a conservative positive growth estimate (5-10%).
Custom
%
Enter a positive growth rate estimate (0-50%)
Graham Intrinsic Value Result
$1667.03
Intrinsic Value
$0.74
Current Price
+225174.5%
Upside/Downside
Base Formula
Growth: 8.0%
AQB Peter Lynch Fair Value
Growth-based valuation using PEG ratio analysis for growth stocks
Fair Value Calculation
EPS (TTM)$68.04
Latest 10-K • 2024-12-31T00:00:00
No positive historical growth rates available. Using custom growth rate slider.
10.0%
1%50%
Fair Value Formula: EPS × Growth Rate
$68.04 × 10.0% = $680.42
$680.42
Fair Value
$0.74
Current Price
+91848.8%
Upside/Downside
PEG Analysis
0.0x
Current P/E
10.0%
Growth Rate
0.00
PEG Ratio (P/E ÷ Growth Rate)
Significantly Undervalued
PEG Ratio Interpretation:
• PEG < 1.0: Undervalued (growth exceeds P/E)
• PEG = 1.0: Fairly valued (ideal Lynch ratio)
• PEG > 1.5: Overvalued (paying premium for growth)
Peter Lynch's Rule:
"The P/E ratio of any company that's fairly priced will equal its growth rate." A stock with 15% growth should trade at a P/E of 15 (PEG = 1.0).